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aurorahour

Northern lights in Cleveland tonight

The aurora forecast for Cleveland, Ohio, hour by hour: the Kp index NOAA expects, darkness, the Moon and the cloud forecast for the city.

Unlikely Friday, October 30

The highest Kp expected after dark tonight is 5. Cleveland needs about Kp 7 to see the aurora low on the northern horizon, and the sky cover forecast after dark averages 51%. The Moon is 68% lit.

Tonight hour by hour in Cleveland (local time)
TimeSkyKpCloudsMoonChance
7 PM Twilight 1.67 36% down Not dark yet
8 PM Dark 5.00 38% down Unlikely
9 PM Dark 5.00 30% down Unlikely
10 PM Dark 5.00 52% down Unlikely
11 PM Dark 4.67 68% 6° Unlikely
12 AM Dark 4.67 55% 16° Unlikely
1 AM Dark 4.67 40% 27° Unlikely
2 AM Dark 4.33 42% 37° Unlikely
3 AM Dark 4.33 75% 48° Clouds in the way
4 AM Dark 4.33 56% 59° Unlikely
5 AM Dark 4.00 57% 68° Unlikely
6 AM Dark 4.00 47% 73° Unlikely
7 AM Twilight 4.00 57% 71° Not dark yet

Forecast from NOAA SWPC (Kp, 3-hour blocks) and the National Weather Service (sky cover), checked when this page was built. The page updates itself when it can reach our data feed.

What Kp you need in Cleveland

Kp 7Cleveland, by eye
Kp 6Cleveland, with a phone camera in night mode
50.5°geomagnetic latitude of Cleveland

The farther north (in magnetic terms) you stand, the lower the Kp you need. From Cleveland, an aurora usually shows low on the northern horizon once Kp reaches about 7; overhead displays need about two steps more. A phone camera in night mode often records it one step earlier than the eye. How we estimate this: our method.

How often the aurora reaches Cleveland

Our own count from the official Kp archive: on how many nights each year the Kp index reached about 7 or more while it was dark at Cleveland. Clouds are not counted, so the real number of nights with a visible aurora is lower. Over the last 10 years the average was 2.4 nights a year; in 2025 it was 8.

Nights per year with Kp at or above 7 after dark at Cleveland, 2006 to 2025 2 2006 0 0 2008 0 0 2010 1 5 2012 3 0 2014 4 0 2016 3 1 2018 0 0 2020 1 1 2022 4 6 2024 8

Data: Kp index since 1932, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences (Matzka et al., 2021), CC BY 4.0. Darkness computed by us for each 3-hour interval (Sun 12° or more below the horizon).

The next 27 days

NOAA's 27-day outlook has no day with a largest Kp near the 7 that Cleveland needs. The outlook repeats the Sun's 27-day rotation and cannot see sudden storms, so check the 3-day forecast too.

Day (UTC)Largest KpAt Cleveland
Fri, Oct 302Unlikely
Sat, Oct 315Unlikely
Sun, Nov 14Unlikely
Mon, Nov 23Unlikely
Tue, Nov 32Unlikely
Wed, Nov 42Unlikely
Thu, Nov 53Unlikely
Fri, Nov 63Unlikely
Sat, Nov 73Unlikely
Sun, Nov 82Unlikely

First 10 days shown. Full table: 27-day aurora forecast.

Where to watch in Cleveland

Cleveland has Lake Erie to the north, which gives a wide, dark horizon right at the edge of the city. During strong storms, people see the aurora from lakefront parks. East of the city, Geauga County is darker still.

Stand on the lakeshore and look north over the water.

For the darkest skies in the state, see northern lights in Ohio.

Nearby cities

Questions people ask

Can you see the northern lights in Cleveland, OH?

Yes, on active nights. From Cleveland it takes about Kp 7, which happened on about 2.4 nights a year over the last 10 years (before clouds).

What time is best?

Usually between 10 pm and 2 am local time, when the sky is fully dark and your location faces the night side of the auroral oval. Storms can bring it earlier or later.

Which way should I look?

North, toward a low, open horizon away from city lights. In strong storms the aurora can climb higher or appear overhead.

Is this an official forecast?

No. It is our estimate built from NOAA's Kp forecast, the National Weather Service sky cover forecast and the Sun and Moon positions. It is not a promise.

Sources: Kp forecast and 27-day outlook: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (public domain). Sky cover: National Weather Service (public domain). Kp archive: GFZ, CC BY 4.0. Coordinates: U.S. Census Bureau Gazetteer. Magnetic latitude: our calculation from the IGRF-14 model of Earth's magnetic field. Sun and Moon: Astronomy Engine. Unofficial estimates, not a guarantee.

Page checked: October 30, 2026.